Thursday, November 4, 2010

Iran - A Contrary Opinion

I have said it before and I will say it again. Iran is more of a danger to the Sunni Arab World than it is to Israel. The combination of sabotage and sanctions are having a demoralising effect on Iran. And if what I have said so far could be considered as controversial, try this one. It suits Israel that the Iranian leader behaves like the lunatic that he is. He is by far the best PR advocate Israel could hope for. Definitely better than any "hasbara" (public diplomacy) put out by Israel. I am aware of the many articles creating fear and anxiety in the Jewish world about the danger to Israel, and I would like to say, without diminishing these opinions, that Israel has a plan A, B and C as regards the above. More important, The Iranian president should be just as worried about Israel as The Jewish Homeland is about him. 
And now to what is happening inside Iran.

1.All European states, closed off their skies to IranAir and private airlines in October. This important step was barely noted by the media here, yet as both Germany and Austria also join the boycott, no state would be willing to fuel Iranian planes – and without refueling they can’t fly. No dignified company would risk its permit to enter the United States.

2.All major energy companies have already cut off their ties with Iran. This includes the British-Dutch Shell, the French Total, the Italian ENI, the Norwegian Statoil, and others. This means that Iran is already having trouble getting refined fuel. Lloyd’s, which insured the numerous trucks exporting fuel from Iran, ended its business relationship with Tehran. Now, these trucks cannot enter some states.

 3.As the government in Tehran is facing a real crisis, it announced that on November 21st it shall put an end to fuel subsidies for private vehicles. Up until now, each driver received his first 60 monthly liters of fuel at the cheap price of 10 cents per liter, and dozens of more liters at a low cost. Yet in November this arrangement shall draw to an end, which may provoke the angry street.

4.Iranian GDP growth has fallen from over 6% in 2009 to below 2% in 2010, and these are their figures.
Like I always say...Follow the Money.

5.A top-secret Iranian Imam Ali Base was struck by a triple blast Tues. Oct. 12. The site held most of the Shehab-3 medium-range missile launchers Iran had stocked for striking US forces in Iraq and Israel in the event of war.

6.The cyber attack by the stuxnet virus on nuclear facilities in Iran has been well documented.

7.Another little known fact....There are only two countries in the world with spy satellites. One is the US and 
the other is...you guessed...Israel.Don’t buy into Iranian propaganda. The sanctions and sabotage are forming a chokehold around the Ayatollah regime and Teheran doesn’t know how to free itself. (Next move will be to cut off the ports).

I am off to Israel for a week and on return, we can look at Obama, the elections, the Fed, and what now? The aftershock should be quite interesting.

When you want to fool the world, tell the truth - Bismarck

H

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