Monday, January 9, 2012

Under the Radar

Saudi Arabia and this US administration are attached by the hip in a game of power where both sides are using each other for differing reasons with a little financial handshaking thrown into the mix.  For the US it's of course the old story again. Control of the oil supply. For the Saudis, the spread of Sunni Islamic power, employing its subsidiary the Muslim Brotherhood. Lets look at the facts. Under the guise of democracy, the Islamic Spring has given birth to three elections. All the elections in Tunisia, Morocco and Egypt have resulted in a Muslim Brotherhood victory. Dictatorships are being replaced by religious and anti-democratic dictatorships, all at the behest of The US.  One may ask why? First some background.

There are about 1.3 billion muslims worldwide. They are generally divided between Shiite and Sunni Muslims. Iran sees itself  as the leader of Shiite Islam while Saudi Arabia is regarded as Sunni Islam's ringleader. Both countries are oil producing, and both employ their financial resources to advance their ambitions. The bigger picture shows the divide quite clearly. The Sunni's are supported by the West, while China and Russia lean towards the shiites. In fact China and Russia lean towards any anti-US entity. Odd man out is Pakistan where internal rivalries need to play out with everybody competing in this game.

World Shiite population is about 200 million or 15% of Islam. They are aggressive and competitive in their search for dominance in the Islamic world. Iran's search for a nuclear weapon is the perfect alibi for the US to bolster its Allies in the persian Gulf while at the same time securing the oil passages with a massive military presence in the area. Its also pretty good for business. Just recently the American's inked a $30 billion arms contract with the Saudis. This September the Financial Times reported that planned American arms sales to the Persian Gulf will amount to $123 billion: A $67.8 billion package for Saudi Arabia, $35.6 billion for the United Arab Emirates, $12.3 billion for Oman and $7.1 billion for Kuwait.

So the strategy is for the US to get involved in a war or two, create enmity between the sides, withdraw her forces and then supply the party(ies) involved with arms. And of course, all the time spouting lip service in the name of freedom and world peace. According to the media, Israel and the palestinians can create peace in the Middle East, if only they would take the advice of Tom Friedman of the NY Times and his allies in Hollywood. So while the media creates the illusion of hope and optimism and the academic intellectuals create villains and heroes, the real business is taking place under the radar, hiding in plain view. And what are some of the realities?

1.The US fully supports the Islamic Spring basing its position on the philosophy of human rights and democracy.

2.The US fully supports the downfall of a selective number of tyrants as long as the tyranny is not Saudi Arabia or its satellites in the Persian Gulf.

3.The Muslim Brotherhood has won democratic elections in all three of the countries where the Islamic Spring has prospered. A striking similarity to Hamas winning an election in Gaza.

4.The ongoing revolution in Syria can only have one ending. The fall of Assad and his replacement by the Muslim Brotherhood. Thousands of Sunni muslims serving in the Syrian army are defecting to the opposition, daily. This would also be a huge blow against Iran.

5.When rioting began in Bahrain recently, the US State department called for peaceful elections. However, when the Saudi's intervened militarily and executed some of the troublemaking Shiites, Hillary was strangely silent.

The big question is why? There are a few possibilities, depending on the level of belief in conspiracy theories. The obvious conjecture is that Obama grew up in Afghanistan, has sympathy for Islam and this ties into his far left ideology of socialism and world revolution. In short, he is promoting the far left/Islamic coalition. My take is that this a little over the top. Obama is first of all, a politician (A Chicago politician at that) and ideology would be a lesser priority to him. The 2nd option could be that the The US is creating a Sunni coalition to offset the withdrawal of US Forces from Iraq. The withdrawal has strengthened Iran's presence in the straits of Hormuz. This coalition would also include Turkey, with Israel as a silent partner.

From the Saudi point of view, A US-Sunni (Saudi) coalition would strengthen their leadership role in the region and serve as a bulwark to confront Iran. This coalition would however also create unease in Israel with regards to the re-election of Obama as president for a second term. The man has not made a secret of his disdain for the Jewish State. From a financial point of view, the Islamic world is struggling to compete in a world vying for food, water and raw materials. The only question mark is whether these unproductive systems of government implode or explode. For now, this is something that works for all as long as the oil(y) glue holds them together.

If even 50% of what Brigitte Gabriel says is true, it's time to wake up and smell the coffee. She is a lebanese Christian who spent most of her childhood in a bunker in South Lebanon. They say that hell hath no fury like a women's anger.... http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid949801312001?bckey=AQ~~,AAAACEco_Vk~,9bOat4XcfB_88ri1a3UMdKnLpH9aM8Fv&bclid=0&bctid=1271237687001


“Throughout history, Allah has imposed upon the [Jews] people who would punish them for their corruption. The last punishment was carried out by [Adolf] Hitler… Allah willing, the next time will be at the hand of the believers.” - Yosef Qaradawi (Spiritual leader of the Muslim Brotherhood)

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